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Rain forecast threatens stop-start finale at Headingley

Heavy skies, damp outfield, and a match on a knife-edge—day five of the Headingley Test between England and India might well be decided as much by the clouds as by the cricketers. Local forecasts point to showers before the 11.00am start and on-and-off rain through the afternoon. A stuttering rhythm, rather than the usual 90-over dash, therefore feels entirely possible.

Where do we stand? After near-identical first-innings totals—India 471, England 465—the visitors pushed on to 364 second time round. England are 21 for 0, still 350 adrift, but with an entire day (in theory) to hunt down 371. Under Bazball, a run-rate of four an over is no fantasy, yet a wet ball and a tacky surface often favour the bowlers.

Josh Tongue, who mopped up India’s lower order for 3 for 72, did not bother hiding England’s intent. “[We will] just go for the win. That’s the clear message in the changing room,” he said. “It’s just [about] being as positive as we can. They’re going to bowl well at times tomorrow. It’s just crucial we soak up that bit of pressure and reapply it. I don’t see why we can’t chase that down.”

India sound just as bullish, largely because Jasprit Bumrah, Mohammed Shami and a weather-worn pitch appear a handy combination. “There’s definitely going to be a result,” insisted KL Rahul, whose second-innings hundred gave India breathing space. “That’s what England have said very openly, and their style of cricket suggests that as well. It gives us a good opportunity to pick up ten wickets. We know how they’re going to come out and bat on day five.”

Rahul batted for nearly four hours on Sunday and found little certainty. “The wicket today was a very tricky wicket: I spent a lot of time batting there and I didn’t feel set at all at any given stage. The wicket’s taken a beating, and tomorrow might break even more… We know their style of cricket, so [we’ll] try to keep that in the back of our heads and try to see what lines and lengths we can bowl and how we can get them out.”

If the rain stays away, England need their openers to blunt Bumrah’s new-ball spell and keep India’s fielders chasing leather. Should interruptions arrive, India must maintain focus and manage the seam-bowler workloads that come with repeated warm-ups. Either way, the World Test Championship points on offer make a draw the least appealing outcome for both dressing rooms.

Like so much Test cricket in Yorkshire, then, Monday may hinge on low clouds, a wisp of breeze from the Pennines, and a strip already showing cracks. It promises tension rather than outright fireworks—but for those braving the drizzle, that is no bad thing.

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